ClaimC-0024draft
Per-paper liability application — Agh 2009 yields $725K-$1.88M with effectively-infinite B
§5.3.12026-05-034 out · 6 in
Applying the four-term liability formula (M-0003) to the Agh et al. 2009 Artemia paper:
- Term A (sunk grant value): ~$210,000 to $340,000 in 2026 dollars. The CORDIS-verified Urmia partner share of EU ICA4-CT-2001-10020 is ~€57,000 (a hard-verifiable floor), but multi-funder triangulation yields a reasoned all-in total of ~€140,000-€225,000 in 2004 euros.
- Term B (replacement cost): Feasible-resample floor ~$95,000-$180,000 — moot against an effectively infinite cap because Urmia Lake has lost ~88% of its surface area by the mid-2010s and Artemia urmiana has collapsed in its type locality. The dataset cannot be reproduced at any price.
- Term C (downstream value lost): ~$420,000-$1,360,000 in foregone reuse value, anchored on Piwowar & Vision's 150-reuse-papers-per-100-deposited reuse rate, applied through 2-4 reuse papers conservatively estimated for this dataset (above baseline because it would have served as pre-collapse reference for the post-collapse genetic-erosion literature).
- Term D (regulatory exposure): Not directly applicable here (work predates NSF DMP and NIH DMS Policy; non-US jurisdiction). An analogous incident at a US institution today would sit within doctrinal reach of the FCA implied-certification theory.
Quantifiable cost: approximately $725,000 to $1.88 million for one paper — composed of A + (moot B floor) + C, against an effectively unbounded B cap.
This is one paper. The R1 application at C-0005 / §5.3.2 applies the same pattern across an institution's annual publication output. Both the per-paper worked example and the institutional aggregate use the same formula — the M-0003 method scales from individual cases to institutional totals.